Cloud Archives

Madrona’s 2017 Investment Themes

March 14, 2017April 5, 2017

Every year in March, Madrona wraps up what happened in 2016 and we sit down with our investors to talk about our business – the business of finding and growing the next big Seattle companies. First and foremost, our strategy is to back the best entrepreneurs in the Pacific NW attacking the biggest markets. But we also overlay this with key themes and trends in the broader technology market. As part of our annual meeting we present our key investment themes for the year. Below is a snapshot of what we are focusing on:

Business and Enterprise Evolution to Cloud Native

Tim Porter-Madrona-Venture Capital Seattle — Tim Porter

The IT industry is in the early innings of its next massive shift. The transition to “cloud native” is as big or bigger as the move from PC to mainframes, the adoption of hypervisors, or the creation of public clouds. Cloud native at its core refers to applications or services built in the cloud that are container-packaged, dynamically scheduled, and microservices-oriented. Cloud Native enables all companies to take advantage of the application architectures that were once the province of Google or Facebook. Companies like Heptio and Shippable are at the forefront of disrupting how IT infrastructure has traditionally been managed with vastly increased agility, computing efficiency, real-time data, and speed. We firmly believe software that helps applications complete the journey from development on a cloud platform to deployment on different clouds, and running them at scale, will become the backbone of technology infrastructure going forward. As such, we are interested in meeting more companies that are making it easier to network, secure, monitor, attach storage, and build applications with container-based, microservice architectures.

Intelligent Applications

Customers today demand their software deliver insights that are real-time, nimble, predictive, and prescriptive. To accomplish this, applications must continuously ingest data, increasingly using event-driven architectures, coupled with algorithm-powered data models and machine learning to deliver better service and novel, predictive recommendations. The new generation of intelligent applications will be “trained and predictive” in contrast to the old generation of software programs that were created to be “programmed and predictable.” We believe that intelligent applications which rely on proprietary datasets, event-driven cloud-based architectures, and intuitive multisense interfaces will unlock new business insights in real-time and disrupt current categories of software. Investments in intelligent app companies that leverage these trends will likely be our largest area of investment in coming years.

Voice and XR Interfaces for Businesses and Consumers

We believe the shift we are seeing for human computer interactions will be as fundamental as the mouse click was for replacing the command line or touch/text was for the rise of mobile computing. This shift will be as pertinent for the enterprise as it is for consumers, and in fact will serve to further blur the lines between productivity and social communication.

With voice, we are most excited by companies that can leverage existing platforms such as Alexa to create a tools layer, or build intelligent vertical end-service applications.

In the realm of XR (from VR to AR), we believe this is a long game. VR will not be an overnight phenomenon, but will play out over the next 5 years as mobile phones become VR capable and, particularly, as truly immersive VR headsets become less expensive and cumbersome. We are committed to this future and are particularly focused on VR/AR technologies that bring the major innovation of “presence” into a shared or social space, as well as “picks-and-shovels” technology that are needed by the XR community now to start the building process now even in advance of a largescale install base of headsets.

Vertical Market Applications that use proprietary data sets and ML/AI

As algorithms continue to become more accessible by way of access to open-source libraries and platforms such as the one our portfolio company, Algorithmia, provides, we believe that proprietary data will be the bottleneck for intelligent apps. Companies and products with ML at their core must figure out how to acquire, augment, and clean proprietary, workable data sets to train the machine learning models. We are excited about the companies with these data sets, as well as companies, such as Mighty AI, that help build these data sets or work with companies to help them leverage their proprietary data to deliver business value.

One area where we see this is happening is when ML/AI and proprietary data is applied to intelligent apps in vertical markets. Vertical market focus allows companies to amass rich data sets and domain expertise at a far faster pace than companies building software that tries to be omni-intelligent, providing both product and go-to-market advantage. Most industry verticals are ripe for this innovation, but several stand out including manufacturing, healthcare, insurance/financial services, energy, and food/agriculture.

AI, IoT and Edge Computing

IoT can be an ambiguous term, but fundamentally we see the explosion of devices connected to the Internet creating an environment where enterprise decision-making and consumer quotidian life will be crucially dependent on real-time data processing, analytics, and shorter response times even in areas where connectivity may be inconsistent. Real time response is crucial to success and is difficult to meet in the centralized, cloud-based model of today. For example, instant communications between autonomous vehicles cannot afford to be dependent on internet access or the latency of connecting to a cloud server and back. Edge computing technologies hope to solve this by bringing the power of cloud computing to the source of where data is generated. We are particularly committed to companies building technologies that are focused on solving how to bring AI, deep learning, machine vision, speech recognition, and other compute-heavy services to resource-constrained and portable devices and improve communication between them.

Another facet of IoT where we continue to have investment interest is new vertical devices for consumer (home, vehicle, wearable, retail), healthcare, and industrial infrastructure (electrical grid, water, public safety), along with enabling supporting infrastructure. Opportunities persist for networking solutions that improve access, range, power, discoverability, cost, and flexibility of edge devices and systems management that provide enhanced security, control, and privacy.

Commerce Experiences that Bridge Digital to Physical

Retail is in a state of flux and technologies are disrupting traditional models in more ways than e-commerce. First, physical retail isn’t going away, but it has a fresh new look. 85% of shoppers say they prefer shopping in stores due to a variety of factors including seeing the product and the social aspect. This has led the new generation of web-native brands such as Indochino, Warby Parker, Glossier and Bonobos to open stores – but they are very different, carrying little physical inventory and geared towards intimacy with customers and helping find the right product for the buyer.

Second, the decreasing cost of IoT hardware technologies such as Impinj’s RFID, advancements in distributed computing, and intelligent software such as computer vision will fundamentally alter physical retail experiences. Experiments are already underway at Amazon Go where shoppers can pick what they want and casually stroll out without waiting in a check-out line.

Within e-commerce, vertically integrated, direct-to-consumer models remain viable and compelling. They bypass costly distribution channels and can build strong brands and intimate customer experiences like Dollar Shave Club, Blue Apron, or Stitch Fix. Marketplaces that leverage underutilized resources or assets; or the technology that underlies these marketplaces remain relevant and compelling particularly for the millennial generation that prioritize access over ownership.

Security and Data Privacy

While certain security categories have been massively over-funded, new investment opportunities continue to arise. Security and data privacy are areas of massive concern for businesses, particularly in the current macro environment. Internally, enterprises demand full visibility, remediation tools, and monitoring capabilities to guard against increasingly sophisticated attacks. Particularly vulnerable are companies that house massive amounts of customer data such as financial services, big retailers, healthcare, and the government. Externally, the collection and analysis of massive amounts of real-time consumer behavioral and personal data is the bread and butter of sales, marketing, and product efforts. But new privacy laws in the US and imminent from the EU are creating heightened awareness of both the control and security of this data. We continue to be interested in companies and technologies that take novel approaches to protecting consumer data and helping corporations and organizations protect their assets.

Technologies Supporting Autonomous Vehicles

Transportation technology is experiencing a massive disruption. Autonomous driving will be the biggest innovation in automobiles since the invention of the car, impacting suppliers, car makers, ridesharing, and everything in between. Lines are blurring between manufacturer and technology provider. We believe the value creation in AVs will, not surprisingly, shift to software, and the data that makes it intelligent. More innovation is required in areas such as computer vision and control systems. Important advancements also remain to be made in component technologies such as radar, cameras, and other sensors. Indeed, there are billions of edge cases due to construction, pedestrians, weather, and a murky regulatory environment that must be ironed out both at the technology and policy level before the promise of AV is a reality.

Additionally, the rise of AV could massively disrupt current modes of car ownership. Fleet and operations management software will become increasingly important as AV transportation-as-a-service becomes more and more tangible. Software and systems for other vehicles including drones, trucks, and ships will also be huge markets and create new investment opportunities.

Seattle and the PNW are emerging as thought leaders in the area of AV, and we believe a technology center of excellence as well, creating new investment opportunities. We are deeply interested in all the threads that go into this complex and massive shift in technology, the car industry and in social culture.

Well, there you have it – Madrona’s key investment themes for 2017. Thanks for reading. If you are working on a startup in any of these areas – we would love to talk to you. Please shoot any of us a note – our email addresses are on in our bios on our website.

AWS re:Invent – the Big Announcements and Implications

December 12, 2016

The momentum continues to build and scale in leaps and bounds. That’s the overwhelming observation and feeling at the end of the 5th annual conference that Amazon hosted in Las Vegas last week for AWS (Amazon Web Services).

Here are some of the key take-aways that we think will have the highest industy impact.

Event-driven Functions and Serverless Computing

Serverless has definitely arrived. As expected, there were a number of new capabilities announced around Lambda, including C# language support, AWS Lambda@Edge to create a “CDN for Compute” and AWS Step Functions to coordinate the components of distributed applications using visual workflows through state machines. Beyond this, it was clear that Lambda, and the serverless approach overall, is being broadly woven into the fabric of AWS services.

In the world of event-driven functions, thinking about a standard way for people to publish events that make it easy to consume those events is going to be critical. Whichever platform gets there first will likely see a tremendous amount of traction.

Innovation in Machine and Deep Learning

AWS has had a machine learning service for a while now, and it was interesting to see a whole slew of new machine learning, deep learning and AI suite of services including Amazon Image Rekognition, Amazon Polly (Text to Speech deep learning service) and Amazon Lex (Natural Language Understanding engine inside Alexa that is now available as a service).

While the concrete use cases are still relatively spare, we – like Amazon – believe this functionality will be integrated into the functionality of virtually all applications in the future.

It is also clear that the proprietary data used to train models are what create differentiated and unique intelligent apps. The distinction between commodity and proprietary data is going to be critical as algorithms become more of a commodity.

Enterprise Credibility

In past years, whether it was intended or unintended, the perception was that taking a bet on AWS meant taking a bet on the public cloud. In other words, there was an unintended consequence of AWS as “all in on public cloud or nothing”. With the VMWare partnership, which was announced a couple months ago, but solidified on stage with VMWare’s CEO, Amazon clearly is supporting the hybrid infrastructure that many enterprises will be dealing with for years to come.

Equally noteworthy was the appearance of Aneel Bhusri, CEO of Workday, on stage to announce that Workday was moving to AWS as their primary cloud for production workloads. Clearly no longer just the realm of primarily dev and test, this is perhaps the strongest statement yet that the public cloud – and AWS in particular – is enterprise production capable.

Moving Up a Layer From a Set of Discrete Services to Solution-based Services

One big theme that showed through this year at AWS was the movement from a set of discrete services to complete solutions both for developers and for operators of applications and services. The beauty of this all is that AWS continues to move forward on this path in a way that is highly empowering for developers and operators.

This approach really shone through during Werner Vogels keynote on Day 2. He laid out AWS’ approach for the “modern data architecture” and then announced how the new service AWS Glue (fully managed data catalog and ETL service) covers all the missing pieces in terms of their end-to-end solution for a modern data architecture on AWS.

Eat the Ecosystem

One of the implications of AWS’ continued growth towards complete solutions is that they continue to eat into the domain of their partner ecosystem. This has been an implied theme in years past, but the pace is accelerating.

Some of the examples that drew the biggest notice:

• AWS X-Ray (analyze and debug distributed applications in production) which aims directly at current monitoring companies like New Relic, AppDynamics and Datadog
• AWS Lightsail (virtual private servers made easy) that, at $5/month, will put significant pressure on companies like Digital Ocean and Linode
• Rekognition (image recognition, part of AI suite described above) that provides a service very similar to Clarifai, who had actually been on a slide just a few prior to the service announcement!

No one should be surprised that AWS’ accelerating expansion will step on the toes of partners. An implication, as @benkepes tweeted, is that the best way to partner and extend AWS is to go very deep for a given use case because AWS will eventually provide the most common horizontal scenarios.

Partner Success = AWS Success

Although some of the new services conflicted with partner offerings, the other side of the coin was that AWS continues to embrace partners and is vested in partners’ success. They clearly understand that having their partners be successful ultimately contributes to more success for AWS. Having customers like Salesforce, WorkDay and Twilio take a complete bet on AWS , making the product of a partner like Chef be available as a fully-managed service on AWS, having a partner like Netflix excited to switch off their last datacenter as they are completely on AWS, and having a company like VMWare embrace AWS as their public cloud partner are some of the great examples of how Amazon is systematically working to ensure that their partners remain successful on AWS, all of which accrues more value and consumption of AWS.

Summary

The cloud opportunity is gigantic and there is room for multiple large players to have a meaningful position strength. However, as of today, Amazon is not just the clear leader but continues to stride forward in an amazing way.

First Published by Geekwire.

AWS re:Invent 5th Anniversary Preview: Five Themes to Watch

November 23, 2016December 9, 2016

The 5th Annual AWS re:Invent is a week away and I am expecting big things. At the first ever re: Invent in 2012, plenty of start-ups and developers could be found, but barely any national media or venture capitalists attended. That has all changed and today, re:Invent rivals the biggest and most strategically important technology conferences of the year with over 25,000 people expected to be in Las Vegas the week after Thanksgiving!

So, what will be the big themes at re: Invent? I anticipate, from an innovation perspective, they will line up with the 3 layers of how we at Madrona think about the core of new consumer and enterprise applications hitting the market. We call it the “Future of Applications” technology stack shown below.

future-of-applications — Future of Applications (Madrona Venture Group Slide, November 2016)

The Themes We Expect at 2016 re:Invent

Doubling Down on Lambda Functions

First is the move “beyond cloud” to what is increasingly called server-less and event-driven computing. Two years ago, AWS unveiled Lambda functions at re:Invent. Lambda quickly became a market leading “event-driven” functions service. The capability, combined with other micro-services, allows developers to create a function which is at rest until it is called in to action by an event trigger. Functions can perform simple tasks like automatically expanding a compute cluster or creating a low resolution version of an uploaded high resolution image. Lambda functions are increasingly being used as a control point for more complicated, micro-services architected applications.

I anticipate that re:Invent 2016 will feature several large and small customers who are using Lambda functions in innovative ways. In addition, both AWS and other software companies will launch capabilities to make designing, creating and running event-driven services easier. These new services are likely to be connected to broader “server-less” application development and deployment tools. The combination of broad cloud adoption, emerging containerization standards and the opportunities for innovating on both application automation and economics (you only pay for Lambda functions on a per event basis) presents the opportunity to transform the infrastructure layer in design and operations for next-generation applications in 2017.

Innovating in Machine and Deep Learning

Another big focus area at re:Invent will be intelligent applications powered by machine/deep learning trained models. Amazon already offers services like AWS ML for machine learning and companies like Turi (prior to being acquired by Apple) leveraged AWS GPU services to deploy machine learning systems inside intelligent applications. But, as recently reported by The Information, AWS is expected to announce a deep learning service that will be somewhat competitive with Google’s TensorFlow deep learning service. This service will leverage the MXNet deep learning library supported by AWS and others. In addition, many intelligent applications already offered to consumers and commercial customers, including AWS stalwarts such as Netflix and Salesforce.com, will emphasize how marrying cloud services with data science capabilities are at the heart of making applications smarter and individually personalized.

Moving to Multi-Sense With Alexa, Chat and AR/VR

While AWS has historically offered fewer end-user facing services, we expect more end-user and edge sensors/devices interactions leveraging multiple user interfaces (voice, eye contact, gestures, sensory inputs) to be featured this year at re:Invent. For example, Amazon’s own Alexa Voice Services will be on prominent display in both Amazon products like the Echo and third party offerings. In addition, new chat-related services will likely be featured by start-ups and potentially other internal groups at Amazon. Virtual and augmented reality use cases for areas including content creation, shared-presence communication and potentially new device form factors will be highlighted. Madrona is especially excited about the opportunity for shared presence in VR to reimagine how people collaborate with man and machine (all powered by a cloud back-end.). As the AWS services stack matures, it is helping a new generation of multi-sense applications reach end users.

Rising Presence of AWS in Enterprises Directly and With Partners

Two other areas of emphasis at the conference, somewhat tangential to the future of applications, will be the continued growth of enterprise customer presentations and attendance at the conference. The dedicated enterprise track will be larger than ever and some high-profile CIO’s, like Rob Alexander from Capital One last year, will be featured during the main AWS keynotes. Vertical industry solutions for media, financial services, health care, and more will be highlighted. And, an expanding mix of channel partners, that could include some surprising cloud bedfellows like IBM, SAP and VMWare, could be featured. In addition, with the recent VMWare and AWS product announcements, AWS could make a big push into hybrid workloads.

AWS Marketplace Emerging as a Modern Channel for Software Distribution

Finally, the AWS Marketplace for discovering, purchasing and deploying software services will increase in profile this year. The size and significance of this software distribution channel has grown significantly the past few years. Features like metered billing, usage tracking and deployment of non “Amazon Machine Image (AMI)” applications could see the spotlight.

Over the years, AWS has always surprised us with innovative solutions like Lambda and Kinesis, competitive offerings like Aurora databases and elastic load balancing, as well as customer centric solutions like AWS Snowball. We expect to be surprised, and even amazed, at what AWS and partner companies will unveil at re: Invent 2016.