Tag: Edge Computing

Investment Themes for 2019

2018 was a busy year for Madrona and our portfolio companies. We raised our latest $300 million Fund VII, and we made 45 investments totaling ~$130 million. We also had several successful up-rounds and company exits with a combined increase of over $800 million in fund value and over $600 million in investor realized returns. We don’t see 2019 letting up, despite the somewhat volatile public markets. Over the past year we have continued to develop our investment themes as the technology and business markets developed and we lay out our key themes here.

For the past several years, Madrona has primarily been investing against a 3-layer innovation stack that includes cloud-native infrastructure at the bottom, intelligent applications (powered by data and data science) in the middle, and multi-sense user interfaces between humans and content/computing at the top. As 2019 kicks off, we thought it would be helpful to outline our updated, 4-layer model and highlight some key questions we are asking within these categories to facilitate ongoing conversations with entrepreneurs and others in the innovation economy.

For reference, we published our investment themes in previous years and our thinking since then has both expanded and become more focused as the market has matured and innovation has continued. A quick scan of this prior post illustrates our on-going focus on cloud infrastructure, intelligent applications, ML, edge computing, and security, as well as how our thinking has evolved.

Opportunities abound within AND across these four layers. Infinitely scalable and flexible cloud infrastructure is essential to train data models and build intelligent applications. Intelligent applications including natural language processing models or image recognition models power the multi-sense user interfaces like voice activation and image search that we increasingly experience on smartphones and home devices (Amazon Echo Show, Google Home). Further, when those services are leveraged to help solve a physical world problem, we end up with compelling end-user services like Booster Fuels in the USA or Luckin Coffee in China.

The new layer that we are spending considerable time on is the intersection between digital and physical experiences (DiPhy for short), particularly as it relates to consumer experiences and health care. For consumers, DiPhy experiences address a consumer need and resolve an end-user problem better than a solely digital or solely physical experience could. Madrona companies like Indochino, Pro.com and Rover.com provide solutions in these areas. In a different way, DiPhy is strongly represented in Seattle at the intersection of machine learning and health care with the incredible research and innovations coming out of the University of Washington Institute for Protein Design, the Allen Institute and the Fred Hutch Cancer Research Center. We are exploring the ways that Madrona can bring our “full stack” expertise to these health care related areas as well.

While continuing to push our curiosity and learning around these themes, they are guides not guardrails. We are finding some of the most compelling ideas and company founders where these layers intersect. Current company examples include voice and ML applied to the problem of physician documentation into electronic medical records (Saykara), integrating customer data across disparate infrastructure to build intelligent customer profiles and applications (Amperity), or cutting edge AI able to run efficiently in resource constrained edge devices (Xnor.ai).

Madrona remains deeply committed to backing the best entrepreneurs, in the Pacific NW, who are tackling the biggest markets in the world with differentiated technology and business models. Frequently, we find these opportunities adjacent to our specific themes where customer-obsessed founders have a fresh way to solve a pressing problem. This is why we are always excited to meet great founding teams looking to build bold companies.

Here are more thoughts and questions on our 4 core focus areas and where we feel the greatest opportunities currently lie. In subsequent posts, we will drill down in more detail into each thematic area.

Cloud Native Infrastructure

For the past several years, the primary theme we have been investing against in infrastructure is the developer and the enterprise move to the cloud, and specifically the adoption of cloud native technologies. We think about “cloud native” as being composed of several interrelated technologies and business practices: containerization, automation and orchestration, microservices, serverless or event-driven computing, and devops. We feel we are still in the early-middle innings of enterprise adoption of cloud computing broadly, but we are in the very early innings of the adoption of cloud native.

2018 was arguably the “year of Kubernetes” based on enterprise adoption, overall buzz and even the acquisition of Heptio by VMware. We continue to feel cloud native services, such as those represented by the CNCF Trail Map, will produce new companies supporting the enterprise shift to cloud native. Other areas of interest (that we will detail in a subsequent post) include technologies/services to support hybrid enterprise environments, infrastructure backend as code, serverless adoption enablers, SRE tools for devops, open source models for the enterprise, autonomous cloud systems, specialized infrastructure for machine learning, and security. Questions we are asking here include how the relationship between the open source community and the large cloud service providers will evolve going forward and how a broad-based embrace of “hybrid computing” will impact enterprise customer product/service needs, sales channels and post-sales services.

For a deeper dive click here.

Intelligent Applications with ML & AI

The utilization of data and machine learning in production has probably been the single biggest theme we have invested against over the past five years. We have moved from “big data” to machine learning platform technologies such as Turi, Algorithmia and Lattice Data to intelligent applications such as Amperity, Suplari and AnswerIQ. In the years ahead, “every application is intelligent” will likely be the single biggest investment theme, as machine learning continues to be applied to new and existing data sets, business processes, and vertical markets. We also expect to find interesting opportunities in services that enable edge devices to operate with intelligence, industry-specific applications where large amounts of data are being created like life sciences, services to make ML more accessible to the average customer, as well as emerging machine learning methodologies such as transfer learning and explainable AI. Key questions here include (a) how data rights and strategies will evolve as the power of data models becomes more apparent and (b) how to automate intelligent applications to be fully managed, closed loop systems that continually improve their recommendations and inferences.

For a deeper dive click here.

Next Generation User Interfaces

Just as the mouse and touch screen ushered in new applications for computing and mobility, new modes of computer interaction like voice and gestures are catalyzing compelling new applications for consumers and businesses. The advent of Alexa Echo and Show, Google Home, and a more intelligent Siri service have dramatically changed how we interact with technology in our personal lives. Limited now to short simple actions, voice is becoming a common approach for classic use cases like search, music discovery, food/ride ordering and other activities. Madrona’s investment in Pulse Labs gives us unique visibility into next generation voice applications in areas like home control, ecommerce and ‘smart kitchen’ services. We are also enthused about new mobile voice/AR business applications for field service technicians, assisted retail shopping (E.g., Ikea’s ARKit furniture app) and many others including medical imaging/training.

Vision and image recognition are also rapidly becoming ways for people and machines to interact with one another as facial recognition security on iPhones or intelligent image recognition systems highlight. Augmented and virtual reality are growing much more slowly than initially expected, but mobile phone-enabled AR will become an increasingly important tool for immersive experiences, particularly visually-focused vocations such as architecture, marketing, and real estate. “Mobile-first” has become table stakes for new applications, but we expect to see more “do less, but much better” opportunities both in consumer and enterprise with elegantly designed UIs. Questions central to this theme include (a) what ‘high-value’ new experiences are truly best or only possible when voice, gesture and the overlay of AR/VR/MR are leveraged? (b) what will be the limits of image (especially facial recognition) in certain application areas, (c) how effective can image-driven systems like digital pathology be at augmenting human expertise, and (d) how will multi-sense point solutions in the home, car and store evolve into platforms?

For a deeper dive click here.

DiPhy (digital-physical converged customer experiences)

The first twenty years of the internet age were principally focused on moving experiences from the physical world to the digital world. Amazon enabled us to find, discover and buy just about anything from our laptops or mobile devices in the comfort of our home. The next twenty years will be principally focused on leveraging the technologies the internet age has produced to improve our experiences in the physical world. Just as the shift from physical to digital has massively impacted our daily lives (mostly for the better), the application of technology to improve the physical will have a similar if not greater impact.

We have seen examples of this trend through consumer applications like Uber and Lyft as well as digital marketplaces that connect dog owners to people who will take care of their dogs (Rover). Mobile devices (principally smartphones today) are the connection point between these two worlds and as voice and vision capabilities become more powerful so will the apps that reduce friction in our lives. As we look at other DiPhy sectors and opportunities, one where the landscape will change drastically over the coming decades is physical retail. Specifically, we are excited about digital native retailers and brands adding compelling physical experiences, increasing digitization of legacy retail space, and improving supply chain and logistics down to where the consumer receives their goods/services. Important questions here include (a) how traditional retailers and consumer services will evolve to embrace these opportunities and (b) how the deployment of edge AI will reduce friction and accelerate the adoption of new experiences.

For a deeper dive click here.

We look forward to hearing from many of you who are working on companies in these areas and, most importantly, to continuing the conversation with all of you in the community and pushing each other’s thinking around these trends. To that end, over the coming weeks we will post a series of additional blogs that go into more depth in each of our four thematic areas.

Matt, Tim, Soma, Len, Scott, Hope, Paul, Tom, Sudip, Maria, Dan, Chris and Elisa

(to get in touch just go to the team page – our contact info is in our profiles)

When the Digital World Meets the Physical World to Solve Real World Problems

We have been experiencing the modern era of our digital lives merging with the physical world, what I call Di-Phy, since the first iPhone in 2007. This blending of the two worlds is all around us, through wearable exercise devices, package or luggage delivery service updates, car sharing and even food ordering. But we are seeing through new advanced technologies an incredible expansion and success in these Di-Phy services. At Madrona we have invested in this market heavily (Rover, Redfin, and Impinj to name just a few) and we are now seeing three trends come together which will move this confluence to a new level and make DiPhy integral in our lives and a change agent for new industries.

  • The ability to compute and intelligently interact at the edge
  • The near ubiquity of smart devices that run apps connecting our digital and physical worlds
  • The development and deployment of state of the art sensors & robotics

These developments combined with cloud technologies that run as a service enable the building of more automated and intelligent applications that make our lives easier and better.

To illustrate the types of solutions beginning to emerge, let’s look at two different industries that are seeing massive changes due to the revolution in DiPhy – agriculture & mobile fueling – and a platform for running deep learning models at the edge.

Agricultural Automation

Many use cases for applied machine learning, robotics and general automation in the commercial world are only beginning to come to market. One area we are seeing a lot of innovation is in agriculture – these solutions span preparing the ground, planting, weeding, and caring for the nation’s food. One of Madrona’s newest investments is both a bet on this trend and on an incredibly talented serial entrepreneur.

TerraClear is a company recently launched by Brent Frei to take on the difficult and never ending task of rock removal on farmland. TerraClear is utilizing state of the art sensors, machine learning, GPS, and robotics to bring the world of software and technology to the very physical task of removing rocks from fields. This combination of digital and physical has the potential to have an incredible impact on one of the industries that has sometimes been slower to adopt technology but is more aggressively embracing innovation in recent years. And Brent is the guy to do this – he is a charismatic, serial entrepreneur who started two companies which grew to be public companies – Smartsheet and Onyx Software. He is also from a strong, multigenerational farming family in Idaho. Having backed Brent before from day one, we are excited to see the innovations and efficiencies that TerraClear will bring to market.

Mobile Fueling

For decades consumers and businesses had to go to the gas station to fill up their vehicle. But, that solution was inconvenient, time consuming and environmentally unfriendly. With the power of mobile phones, GPS and route optimization, a new group of companies that deliver fuel to your vehicle on demand have emerged. The early leader in this category is Booster Fuels. Booster’s Founder and CEO Frank Mycroft had the initial insight that the combination of the digital world and GPS technology with the economics of mobile fueling could eliminate this annoying chore and be a good business. He and his team have meticulously designed a mobile fuel delivery system that enables consumers to have their cars filled while they are at work. By delivering to corporate campuses they can efficiently fill over 12 cars per hour in a manner that is superior to the gas station, cost comparable and very safe. Regulators have learned that it is more environmentally friendly and safe and have become strongly supportive of Booster.

Booster also learned that their specially designed systems, vehicles and drivers could provide a superior service to commercial fleets. This extension of their business is allowing them to expand rapidly to more geographies and provide related services. Software, data, employee training, and vehicles with modern sensors all combine to make such a digital meets physical solution a success

Deep Learning at the Edge

Deep learning models are a fundamental breakthrough in how machines can be trained to recognize images for a broad variety of autonomous use cases. The challenge with image recognition models is that they generally require significant compute, memory and power resources to run the models. In order to unlock the power of these digital models to run and address real world problems at the edge, a solution was needed to build and compress the models and match them to the resources available. These use cases also protect privacy and reduce latency relative to models require cloud resources.

In our portfolio, XNOR.ai has broken through with their data model pipeline and “binarization” capabilities to enable clearly superior models that run at the edge on devices with limited if any connectivity. Ali Farhadi and Mohammad Ragestrani developed these techniques with their team at Paul Allen’s Institute for Artificial Intelligence in Seattle. These models can be run on a mobile phone to improve picture taking. They can be run on a security camera to distinguish between a vehicle, person or animal. They can be run in a store like Amazon Go or Bingo Box to enable autonomous shopping. And, they can be used on home appliances to identify specific food items. The applications are nearly limitless and will redefine how consumers interact with all kinds of physical world items. More fundamentally, they will be required as part of the “sensor fusion” that unlocks the full potential of autonomous vehicles. Companies like Xnor.ai are creating the building blocks for breakout services in the DiPhy realm.

Focusing on the Customer and their Problems

An important key to success in this new generation of digital meets physical world solutions is to be “customer pulled” rather than “technology pushed.” By understanding a customer’s need to remove rocks from farmland, fill their car up with fuel, or run image detection models at the edge successful companies are being built. Being enamored with location aware devices, deep learning models or even the blockchain does not lead directly to identifying and understanding a real-world problem and building a superior solution. In fact, though we didn’t talk about it here, we believe blockchain will play an important role in DiPhy. The real power of blockchain is likely using digital tokens to reduce friction with the ownership and utilization of assets in the physical world. But, that is a topic for a future post.

Rigado – Edge Computing for IoT Devices

(Pictured Ben Corrado, co-founder and CEO, and Len Jordan)

Today I’m very pleased to announce our investment in Rigado, developers of an ‘edge-as-a-service’ platform for next generation IoT applications. We have known members of the Rigado team for many years, are impressed with their product/business progress and are glad to be leading their A round of $15 million with participation from existing investors Oregon Venture Fund, FusionX and Vanedge Capital.

Rigado’s platform plays an important role in the hybrid distributed computing world that marries the cloud with processing at the edge. Their recent release of ‘Cascade’ leverages the team’s strong history in device connectivity with a sophisticated container-based software API system and gateway for security, management, provisioning orchestration and cloud integration.

We have been studying the IoT market for several years and believe it will become more and more important as intelligence at the edge matures. We are especially impressed with Rigado’s customer traction in new commercial applications like retail/hospitality, building management and more classic IoT use cases around asset tracking and telemetry.

We look forward to working closely with the team, they have strong relationships with important partners like Microsoft and Amazon who are well-known to Madrona. We are also especially happy to be working with another great company in Oregon and look forward to connecting Rigado to our colleagues up and down the Cascade corridor.

 

Madrona’s 2017 Investment Themes

Every year in March, Madrona wraps up what happened in 2016 and we sit down with our investors to talk about our business – the business of finding and growing the next big Seattle companies. First and foremost, our strategy is to back the best entrepreneurs in the Pacific NW attacking the biggest markets. But we also overlay this with key themes and trends in the broader technology market. As part of our annual meeting we present our key investment themes for the year. Below is a snapshot of what we are focusing on:

Business and Enterprise Evolution to Cloud Native

Tim Porter-Madrona-Venture Capital Seattle
Tim Porter

The IT industry is in the early innings of its next massive shift. The transition to “cloud native” is as big or bigger as the move from PC to mainframes, the adoption of hypervisors, or the creation of public clouds. Cloud native at its core refers to applications or services built in the cloud that are container-packaged, dynamically scheduled, and microservices-oriented. Cloud Native enables all companies to take advantage of the application architectures that were once the province of Google or Facebook. Companies like Heptio and Shippable are at the forefront of disrupting how IT infrastructure has traditionally been managed with vastly increased agility, computing efficiency, real-time data, and speed. We firmly believe software that helps applications complete the journey from development on a cloud platform to deployment on different clouds, and running them at scale, will become the backbone of technology infrastructure going forward. As such, we are interested in meeting more companies that are making it easier to network, secure, monitor, attach storage, and build applications with container-based, microservice architectures.

Intelligent Applications

Customers today demand their software deliver insights that are real-time, nimble, predictive, and prescriptive. To accomplish this, applications must continuously ingest data, increasingly using event-driven architectures, coupled with algorithm-powered data models and machine learning to deliver better service and novel, predictive recommendations. The new generation of intelligent applications will be “trained and predictive” in contrast to the old generation of software programs that were created to be “programmed and predictable.” We believe that intelligent applications which rely on proprietary datasets, event-driven cloud-based architectures, and intuitive multisense interfaces will unlock new business insights in real-time and disrupt current categories of software. Investments in intelligent app companies that leverage these trends will likely be our largest area of investment in coming years.

Voice and XR Interfaces for Businesses and Consumers

We believe the shift we are seeing for human computer interactions will be as fundamental as the mouse click was for replacing the command line or touch/text was for the rise of mobile computing. This shift will be as pertinent for the enterprise as it is for consumers, and in fact will serve to further blur the lines between productivity and social communication.

With voice, we are most excited by companies that can leverage existing platforms such as Alexa to create a tools layer, or build intelligent vertical end-service applications.

In the realm of XR (from VR to AR), we believe this is a long game. VR will not be an overnight phenomenon, but will play out over the next 5 years as mobile phones become VR capable and, particularly, as truly immersive VR headsets become less expensive and cumbersome. We are committed to this future and are particularly focused on VR/AR technologies that bring the major innovation of “presence” into a shared or social space, as well as “picks-and-shovels” technology that are needed by the XR community now to start the building process now even in advance of a largescale install base of headsets.

Vertical Market Applications that use proprietary data sets and ML/AI

As algorithms continue to become more accessible by way of access to open-source libraries and platforms such as the one our portfolio company, Algorithmia, provides, we believe that proprietary data will be the bottleneck for intelligent apps. Companies and products with ML at their core must figure out how to acquire, augment, and clean proprietary, workable data sets to train the machine learning models. We are excited about the companies with these data sets, as well as companies, such as Mighty AI, that help build these data sets or work with companies to help them leverage their proprietary data to deliver business value.

One area where we see this is happening is when ML/AI and proprietary data is applied to intelligent apps in vertical markets. Vertical market focus allows companies to amass rich data sets and domain expertise at a far faster pace than companies building software that tries to be omni-intelligent, providing both product and go-to-market advantage. Most industry verticals are ripe for this innovation, but several stand out including manufacturing, healthcare, insurance/financial services, energy, and food/agriculture.

AI, IoT and Edge Computing

Linda Lian

IoT can be an ambiguous term, but fundamentally we see the explosion of devices connected to the Internet creating an environment where enterprise decision-making and consumer quotidian life will be crucially dependent on real-time data processing, analytics, and shorter response times even in areas where connectivity may be inconsistent. Real time response is crucial to success and is difficult to meet in the centralized, cloud-based model of today. For example, instant communications between autonomous vehicles cannot afford to be dependent on internet access or the latency of connecting to a cloud server and back. Edge computing technologies hope to solve this by bringing the power of cloud computing to the source of where data is generated. We are particularly committed to companies building technologies that are focused on solving how to bring AI, deep learning, machine vision, speech recognition, and other compute-heavy services to resource-constrained and portable devices and improve communication between them.

Another facet of IoT where we continue to have investment interest is new vertical devices for consumer (home, vehicle, wearable, retail), healthcare, and industrial infrastructure (electrical grid, water, public safety), along with enabling supporting infrastructure. Opportunities persist for networking solutions that improve access, range, power, discoverability, cost, and flexibility of edge devices and systems management that provide enhanced security, control, and privacy.

Commerce Experiences that Bridge Digital to Physical

Retail is in a state of flux and technologies are disrupting traditional models in more ways than e-commerce. First, physical retail isn’t going away, but it has a fresh new look. 85% of shoppers say they prefer shopping in stores due to a variety of factors including seeing the product and the social aspect. This has led the new generation of web-native brands such as Indochino, Warby Parker, Glossier and Bonobos to open stores – but they are very different, carrying little physical inventory and geared towards intimacy with customers and helping find the right product for the buyer.

Second, the decreasing cost of IoT hardware technologies such as Impinj’s RFID, advancements in distributed computing, and intelligent software such as computer vision will fundamentally alter physical retail experiences. Experiments are already underway at Amazon Go where shoppers can pick what they want and casually stroll out without waiting in a check-out line.

Within e-commerce, vertically integrated, direct-to-consumer models remain viable and compelling. They bypass costly distribution channels and can build strong brands and intimate customer experiences like Dollar Shave Club, Blue Apron, or Stitch Fix. Marketplaces that leverage underutilized resources or assets; or the technology that underlies these marketplaces remain relevant and compelling particularly for the millennial generation that prioritize access over ownership.

Security and Data Privacy

While certain security categories have been massively over-funded, new investment opportunities continue to arise. Security and data privacy are areas of massive concern for businesses, particularly in the current macro environment. Internally, enterprises demand full visibility, remediation tools, and monitoring capabilities to guard against increasingly sophisticated attacks. Particularly vulnerable are companies that house massive amounts of customer data such as financial services, big retailers, healthcare, and the government. Externally, the collection and analysis of massive amounts of real-time consumer behavioral and personal data is the bread and butter of sales, marketing, and product efforts. But new privacy laws in the US and imminent from the EU are creating heightened awareness of both the control and security of this data. We continue to be interested in companies and technologies that take novel approaches to protecting consumer data and helping corporations and organizations protect their assets.

Technologies Supporting Autonomous Vehicles

Transportation technology is experiencing a massive disruption. Autonomous driving will be the biggest innovation in automobiles since the invention of the car, impacting suppliers, car makers, ridesharing, and everything in between. Lines are blurring between manufacturer and technology provider. We believe the value creation in AVs will, not surprisingly, shift to software, and the data that makes it intelligent. More innovation is required in areas such as computer vision and control systems. Important advancements also remain to be made in component technologies such as radar, cameras, and other sensors. Indeed, there are billions of edge cases due to construction, pedestrians, weather, and a murky regulatory environment that must be ironed out both at the technology and policy level before the promise of AV is a reality.

Additionally, the rise of AV could massively disrupt current modes of car ownership. Fleet and operations management software will become increasingly important as AV transportation-as-a-service becomes more and more tangible. Software and systems for other vehicles including drones, trucks, and ships will also be huge markets and create new investment opportunities.

Seattle and the PNW are emerging as thought leaders in the area of AV, and we believe a technology center of excellence as well, creating new investment opportunities. We are deeply interested in all the threads that go into this complex and massive shift in technology, the car industry and in social culture.

Well, there you have it – Madrona’s key investment themes for 2017. Thanks for reading. If you are working on a startup in any of these areas – we would love to talk to you. Please shoot any of us a note – our email addresses are on in our bios on our website.